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Canada 4,939,288 cases

This report last updated 2024-03-27 Time 02:44:11 GMT with the best available reported data.

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Population: 40,494,616 adjusted for estimated real COVID-19 deaths

CanadaCases DeathsCuredActive
Reported:4,939,28858,643 1.2% CFR4,874,6685,977
Estimate:27,314,26376,235 *0.28% IFR26,956,91433,053

*Inferred IFR is an estimate only. The actual COVID-19 IFR may not be accurately calculated for the entire human race until long after the pandemic has ended.

Below: Extensive Estimates using data from multiple sources.

Beta experimental estimates for Canada. Reported + unreported mild + asymptomatic COVID-19 infections.

The total actual number of infections in Canada including all the untested, unreported, asymptomatic infections is likely greater than 27,314,263 (67.45% of the population) including mild and asymptomatic cases. That would mean the estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate: (IFR) is likely around 0.28%

Canadian COVID-19 deaths to 2024-03-27 are estimated to be 76,480 Using estimated IFR of 0.28%. Global average 0.49% Global estimated inferred average Infection Fatality Rate (IFR

76,480 (0.28% IFR) is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths (based on the inferred IFR) including those deaths unreported as COVID-19). The IHME estimates excess deaths in Canada to reach much higher than CSPaC estimates.

See The Lancet estimate of excess mortality from COVID-19 (Download PDF) in 191 countries/territories and 252 subnational units of select countries, from 1 January 2 0 2 0, to 31 December 2 0 2 1.

76235 Is the CSPaC estimated number of Canadian COVID-19 deaths based on a modified universal algorithm which factors more sophisticated public health infrastructure and also fewer available urgent care beds and facilities which is a problem in much of Canada in an emergency measures context.

The closeness of the two numbers derived from unique data and methods suggests their high probability. The blended data of three projections from three different biostatistician labs also confirms the estimates +/- .01%.

It is safe to say that Canadians have endured the grief of losing 76235 family members. Every number has a face. May their memory be forever a blessing to their families and friends.

Canada's advanced public health standards.

Canada and the USA have Infection Fatality Rates close to global averages but since vaccine booster-rates have dropped, CFR in both countrioes is climbing slightly above global averages. (influenza has an IFR of .1% or 6 per 100k (2019)).

Ontario, Canada Reports no longer updated. See Archives to 5 March 2023

2024-03-28 T:08:25 Graphs for Canada (see date in graphs)

Click any images to enlarge and read details.

Graph below: Daily Hospitalizations. (Canada seldom reports hospitalizations)

2024-03-28 Reported data | Cases: 4,939,288 | Deaths: 58,643 | Recoveries est: 4,874,668

Estimated cases: 27,314,263 Estimated Deaths: 76,235 Est. Active cases 2024-03-28: 33,053

Graph: COVID-19 Hospitalizations trend to 23 Jan. 2024 when Canada stopped reporting.

"Hospitalizations in Canada rose rapidly in December 2023 and in early January 2024, then by 23 January 2024, a rapid decline brought hospitalizations back to November levels which were far too high. As of 23 January 2024, Canada stopped most COVID-19 reporting at a time when hospitalizations were very high.

Updated (Thu Mar 28 04:25:53 2024) an average of 2000 daily hospitalizations suggests members of the public consider wearing an N95 or equivalent filtering facepiece respirator mask (FFR) in high risk environments where congregations of unmasked members of the public may gather. People have the right to make their own decisions about their health safety.

  1. Counries where air pollution is high for any reason and particularly where forest fire smoke or war damage smoke is filling the air.
  2. Indoor activities and settings, when there is crowding or higher risk of exposure or close contact based on the nature of activities. These may include activities in commercial establishments and public transport, among others.
  3. Indoor and outdoor dining, except during actual eating of meals.
  4. Indoor and outdoor gatherings or crowded settings, especially when two meter physical distance is unlikely. These may include, but not limited to, indoor and outdoor commercial establishments such as food establishments, malls, and public markets, and transport terminals and enclosed bus stops.
  5. Indoor and outdoor activities that promote close contact, such as personal care services, among others.

The worst outcomes are experienced by the unvaccinated

Vaccines for any coronavirus have limited expectations but they do reduce the impact of infection and may indeed prevent infection depending on the similarity of the target of the vaccine to the actual pathogen. The closer the similarity the more the body is prepared to fight the intruder.

"January 2024: SARS-CoV-2 and its Variants and Subvariants target the lungs and may cause more serious illness." says expert.

"Unfortunately, with the volume of COVID-19 infections still high, the probability of there emerging another fast spreading but more deadly mutation is possible because of the massive numbers of unvaccinated/unboosted around the world," said Dr. Harris. "That is why getting vaccinated and boosted plus wearing N95 or equivalent respirator masks when around other people in any context, is crucial to stopping the spread. It must be stopped in order to prevent the virus from mutating further," he added.

'Globally, community spread of SARS2 VOCs must be stopped with vaccinations, PPE, good personal hygiene and other mitigation efforts.


Read if you wish: Should Women seek better COVID Vaccines for their families? Sat, 18 Jun 2022 03:24:42 GMT"

Also: WHO warns of now spiking COVID-19 regional outbreaks. Wed, 15 Jun 2022 05:35:18 GMT


Health Canada Suggests: 'Get Vaccinated, and':

Here are the reported and estimated Canada data.

CanadaCases DeathsCuredActive
Reported:4,939,28858,643 1.2% CFR4,874,6685,977
Estimate:27,314,26376,235 *0.28% IFR26,956,91433,053

Historical Canada Sources

Some sources may have been closed.

Ontario, Canada Regional Public Health Sources

Algoma
Brant County
Chatham-Kent
Durham Region
Eastern Ontario
Grey Bruce
Haldimand-Norfolk
Haliburton-Kawartha lakes-Pine Ridge
Halton Region
Hamilton
Hastings-Prince Edward
Huron Perth
Kingston Frontenac-Lennox & Addington
Lambton
Leeds Grenville & Lanark
Middlesex-London
Niagara Region
North Bay-Nipissing-Parry Sound
Northwestern Ontario
Ottawa
Peel Region
Peterborough
Porcupine
Renfrew Region County
Simcoe-Muskoka
Southwestern Ontario
Sudbury & District
Thunder Bay
Timiskaming
Toronto
Waterloo
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph
Windsor Essex County
York Region

Reported COVID-19 Deaths. Our Canadian COVID-19 heartbreak:


In Quebec 18219 died
In Ontario 16234 died
In Alberta 5622 died
In British Columbia 5249 died
In Manitoba 2464 died
In Saskatchewan 1890 died
In New Brunswick 834 died
In Nova Scotia 794 died
In Newfoundland & Labrador 318 died
In PEI 94 died
In Yukon 32 died
In NWT 22 died
In Nunavut 7 died
May their memory always be a blessing.

"Each Canadian adult who is not vaccinated should conduct themselves as if they are living in an infectious disease laboratory," says the team lead of the Civil Society Partners in Solidarity against COVID-19

Note: Information in this article was accurate at the time of original publication and is updated weekly.

From the current American experience scientists are learning that for persons who are not vaccinated, the only safe indoor places are in the home, if they make it safe by cleaning all touched surfaces at least every day and after the entry of any person of the household. No other persons must enter the home of non-vaccinated persons. (Get vacinated.) Nobody should come and go for any reason except an emergency. If a person must leave the home for an errand, they must wear a full set of respiratory PPE. That includes a respirator mask, goggles, gloves, and only if you wish, a properly fitted, certified medical grade face shield, otherwise don't bother because fake medical shields are dangerous. It must be sealed with a foam strip at the forehead otherwise it is a scoop for potentially infected air to flow past the eyes and nose.

Upon returning home, say from a shopping trip, "do not touch anything but go to a designated area in an unused area of your home or at least one that can easily be cleaned thoroughly", say doctors and infectious disease researchers.

Keeping gloves on, remove all facial PPE by the strings.

"Remove gloves by peeling off the right glove using the gloved left hand and hold it with the gloved fingers, then inserting the right hand fingers under the cuff of the left glove peeling it over the fingers clasping the right glove. Do not touch the outside of the glove with bare hands. Discard the gloves or drop them into hot soapy water if reusable. Do not touch your face. Next perform hand hygiene and remove clothing . Clothing should go into the wash immediately. Shower immediately using plenty of ordinary soap that lathers. Welcome home. Wash your hands again, despite the shower. Don't touch your face. Wear a mask now for at least seven days while at home unless you have your own room, then wear a mask outside that room or when anyone enters," explains a nurse practitioner working in the COVID-19 Building of Notre Dame hospital in the Philippines.


Watch on YouTube. The Civil Society Solidarity Partners team in Singapore have tracked many deaths from these events on the 17 April 2021 weekend.


Some notes from CSPaD Tracking Scientists

Free Counselling is Available from one of our partners.

RSAC Health care providers in potential risk environments: Vaccinated or not, the RINJ Medical Director's new protocols for the 'new normal' say wear certified medical grade PPE including an FFP respirator such as an N95 or FFP2 plus eye cover such as protective goggles or a medical grade face shield. The new variants expected to be circulating in Canada are more transmissable which means that, a smaller viral load that has been aerosolized and airborne can make you sick.

One thing we know for sure about SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, is that it is changing continually. Since the start of the pandemic, a number of prominent variants, including Alpha, Beta, Delta, and Omicron have emrged. It is fairly certain that more will come.

There is a significant risk that a variant which is as contagious as the Omicron mutation of SARS-CoV-2 coupled with a more aggressive deep-lung infection propensity, like the BA.4 and BA.5 will emerge because of the still high numbers of infections globally in the first quarter of 2023.

Omicron Lineages

There are several lineages designated “Omicron,” including B.1.1.529, BA.1, BA.1.1, BA.2, BA.3, BA.4 and BA.5. The lineage B.1.1.529 includes BA.1 and BA.3; BA.1.1 and BA.2 are categorized separately. Omicron lineages share 39 mutations from the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2, and BA.1 and BA.2 also differ by 28 mutations (Colson, March 2022Yu, April 2022) — approximately twice as many amino acid differences as those that exist between the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2 and the first four WHO-designated variants of concern (Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta).

As new subvariants of Omicron continue to emerge, the possibility increases that immunological protection from a previous Omicron infection may not protect against a new variant. Preliminary evidence from in vitro studies suggests that immunological protection from BA.1 infection may not protect against BA.4 or BA.5 infection (Khan, May 2022 – preprint, not peer-reviewed; Cao, June 2022)..

Variants and subvariants may account for an increased proportion of new cases for several reasons. Two primary reasons are:

Limited evidence suggests that the comparative increase in cases of BA.5 is due to an increased ability to evade immune system detection compared with other variants and subvariants (European Center for Disease Prevention and Control, May 2022). Epidemiological information about new Omicron subvariants is limited and still emerging.

The lineages BA.1 and BA.1.1, as well as BA.4 and BA.5, experience S-gene target failure: While these viruses are identifiable by PCR, some PCR tests specifically for an S-gene component that fails to be recognized for BA.1 and BA.1.1. This led to these lineages being colloquially termed “stealth” variants; however, S-gene target failure is used as a tool to identify the presence of these lineages specifically.

Within the BA.2 lineage, several subvariants have been identified, including BA.2.12, BA.2.12.1 and BA.2.75. The subvariants BA.2.12 and BA.2.12.1 are estimated to have an approximately 23%-27% growth advantage above the original BA.2 variant (New York State Department of Health, April 2022). At present, there is no evidence suggesting these subvariants cause more severe disease than the original BA.2 lineage, but outcomes after BA.2.12 and BA.2.12.1 infection continue to be monitored. Preliminary evidence about BA.2.75 suggests that, similar to BA.4 and BA.5, its susceptibility to a broad range of monoclonal antibody therapies is reduced (Yamasoba, July 2022 — preprint, not peer-reviewed).

Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 may cause more severe disease.

Kei Sato at the University of Tokyo says BA.4, BA.5 and BA.2.12.1 may have evolved to target infection of lung cells, rather than upper respiratory tract tissue making them closer in behaviour to variants like Alpha or Delta. BA.4 and BA.5 may cause more severe disease.

The risk of more dangerous variants is exacerbated by higher numbers of infections. Some anomalous examples of a more dangerous variant may have been noted already and are under study since January 2022---but nothing conclusive. It is also possible that the massive numbers of humans infected by Omicron, likely a high percentage of the human race, could provide elevated immunity levels in the short term that would be sufficient to slow and stop the pandemic, making COVID-19 an endemic disease and Omicron a one-in-a-billion flukish lucky break. Unfortunately, the way viruses work, the worst scenario is the most likely. That is why vaccination is so important. Eventually a vaccine that focusses on a different element of the virus, one that does not change and therefore a vaccine for any variant, will evolve. Such vaccines are under study now. That could be a couple years away. In the meantime, the available vaccines are unequivocally preventing deaths." Follow public health guidelines, the stricter, the better.

Background Articles

Should Women seek better COVID Vaccines for their families? Sat, 18 Jun 2022 03:24:42 GMT"

WHO warns of now spiking COVID-19 regional outbreaks. Wed, 15 Jun 2022 05:35:18 GMT


Additional Reading



Gone but not forgotten. Canada's HealthCare Workers lost to COVID-19


May their memory forever be a blessing.

If we have left a name off the list of a Canadian frontliner who you know died during the course of COVID-19, please accept our apologies and please contact us with the information. Thank you.


GMT: 2024-03-28 T:08:25

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